Negreira vs Verín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ORD
0 - 0
NEG
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NEG
2 - 0
GAL
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 0
NEG
67%
20%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SIL
3 - 1
NEG
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NEG
1 - 1
CHO
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Verín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VER
3 - 1
SIL
48%
25%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
VER
65%
19%
15%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VER
2 - 2
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 3
VER
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VER
0 - 2
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |