Negreira vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALO
2 - 0
NEG
66%
20%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NEG
0 - 0
RIB
35%
25%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 2
NEG
60%
22%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NEG
1 - 4
BOI
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASP
3 - 0
NEG
62%
21%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NOI
1 - 2
SIL
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
NOI
80%
14%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NOI
2 - 2
BAR
19%
25%
56%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 0
NOI
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOI
3 - 1
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |