Negreira vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 0
NEG
57%
24%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NEG
2 - 1
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ORD
0 - 1
NEG
35%
27%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NEG
1 - 1
ARO
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
NEG
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CER
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RCV
2 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
4 - 1
CHO
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ORD
2 - 3
CHO
25%
26%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |