Negreira vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
RCV
0 - 4
NEG
66%
21%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NEG
1 - 1
NOI
58%
23%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALO
2 - 0
NEG
66%
20%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NEG
0 - 0
RIB
35%
25%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 2
NEG
60%
22%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CER
1 - 2
SIL
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 1
CER
52%
24%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CER
0 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 3
CER
40%
25%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CER
3 - 1
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |