Negreira vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BOI
3 - 0
NEG
85%
11%
4%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
NEG
1 - 2
RCV
23%
25%
53%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 0
NEG
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NEG
1 - 4
RIB
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SIL
3 - 0
NEG
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
OUR
22%
25%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
NOI
2 - 2
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
ALO
25%
26%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ARO
4 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |