Negreira vs As Pontes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 2
NEG
44%
28%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NEG
1 - 1
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ARO
4 - 3
NEG
69%
20%
12%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NEG
2 - 1
CUL
46%
25%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GRI
2 - 0
NEG
31%
27%
42%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASP
1 - 4
PON
54%
23%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 4
ASP
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASP
1 - 0
DEP
62%
20%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 2
ASP
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ASP
6 - 0
ALO
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |