Neftochimic Burgas vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PIR
2 - 5
NEF
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 1
BAN
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
NEF
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 0
VID
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NEF
1 - 1
PIR
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
0 - 2
BAN
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VID
0 - 2
SVA
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
3 - 0
SLI
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SHU
1 - 1
SVA
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LOV
7 - 1
SVA
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |