Neftochimic Burgas vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
LOK
2 - 1
NEF
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
NEF
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
NEF
3 - 1
LUD
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
SOZ
3 - 2
NEF
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NEF
2 - 1
SEP
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
SEP
1 - 1
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
SEP
16%
24%
61%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
SEP
3 - 0
BPL
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SOZ
0 - 5
SEP
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
SEP
3 - 1
ETA
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |