Neftochimic Burgas vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
NEF
0 - 2
BVR
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LUD
2 - 0
NEF
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NEF
0 - 2
BGA
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NEF
0 - 2
SOZ
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FCT
5 - 1
NEF
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
MON
4 - 0
LSO
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
OBO
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
BVR
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |