Neftochimic Burgas vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEF
7 - 1
DOR
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
NEF
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 0
NEF
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 2
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SLI
1 - 0
NEF
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 0
NES
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
BOT
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SLI
4 - 0
NES
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
SVA
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |