Neftochimic Burgas vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
NEF
1 - 0
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LOV
1 - 1
NEF
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SEV
1 - 3
NEF
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
NEF
0 - 2
SEP
26%
26%
49%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
NEF
3 - 0
STR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LUD
2 - 0
ARK
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
LUD
5 - 1
CSK
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LUD
2 - 0
ETA
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BVR
0 - 1
LUD
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
LUD
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |