Neftochimic Burgas vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
BER
2 - 0
NEF
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 3
LPL
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CSK
4 - 0
NEF
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 1
SSO
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
CHB
2 - 3
NEF
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CVA
3 - 1
LUD
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 1
CVA
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
BER
0 - 0
CVA
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CVA
1 - 0
LPL
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CSK
0 - 0
CVA
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |