Neftçi II vs Səbail II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
13º
2º
44
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 0
NEF
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 1
ENE
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 2
MOI
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 1
NEF
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
FKQ
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Səbail II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SFK
3 - 0
FKQ
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SFK
3 - 0
ENE
52%
23%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MOI
3 - 1
SFK
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 2
ARA
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SFK
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |