Neftçi II vs MOIK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
13º
2º
43
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 1
NEF
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
FKQ
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
4 - 1
NEF
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
NEF
3 - 0
ZIK
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 2
NEF
14%
21%
65%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
MOIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MOI
3 - 1
SFK
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
3 - 0
MOI
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
MOI
3 - 2
ENE
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MOI
0 - 4
SEB
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 3
MOI
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |