Neftchi vs Sogdiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
8º
5º
32
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 32 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 31 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 19 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 1% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
1.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
NEF
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEF
3 - 2
DSA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 0
NEF
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 2
PAK
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
FKL
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sogdiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 1
SOG
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SOG
2 - 2
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SOG
2 - 3
NAV
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 0
NEF
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SOG
4 - 2
DSA
47%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |