Neftchi vs Sogdiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
5º
27
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 1
NEF
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
URA
3 - 0
NEF
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 1
NAS
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
NAV
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sogdiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FKO
3 - 3
SOG
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BUN
0 - 2
SOG
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 2
OLM
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
TER
1 - 0
SOG
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DOS
0 - 5
SOG
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |