Neftchi vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
8º
6º
20
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 49 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 39 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 33 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 33 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 27 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 22 |
13º
|
41% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 0
NEF
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEF
3 - 0
FKO
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 3
SOG
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
NEF
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEF
3 - 2
DSA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
QIZ
1 - 1
SOG
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKL
4 - 2
QIZ
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
QIZ
0 - 1
NAS
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
QIZ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
QIZ
0 - 3
AND
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |