Neftchi vs Pakhtakor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
8º
6º
32
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 49 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 45 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
FKL
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
NAS
1 - 0
NEF
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
TER
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 3
NEF
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 0
OLM
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
PAK
1 - 0
BUN
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
OLM
4 - 2
PAK
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 0
NAV
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AND
1 - 3
PAK
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
PAK
1 - 1
NAS
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |