Neftchi vs Metallurg Bekabad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SFA
1 - 5
NEF
6%
14%
80%
|
66 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 0
DOS
40%
24%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 0
NEF
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DSA
0 - 1
NEF
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
DOS
0 - 2
MET
48%
22%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MET
5 - 0
SFA
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
DSA
2 - 1
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
SOG
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |