Neftchi vs Metallurg Bekabad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
8º
6º
14
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 49 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 45 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DSA
0 - 1
NEF
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 2
NEF
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
TYU
1 - 2
NEF
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
ATY
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 2
NEF
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
SOG
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKL
2 - 2
MET
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GAZ
3 - 0
MET
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
MET
42%
23%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
MET
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |