Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
8º
5º
23
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 49 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 32 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 31 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 27 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 19 |
14º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 0
NEF
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 2
PAK
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
FKL
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
NAS
1 - 0
NEF
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
TER
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SOG
4 - 2
DSA
47%
26%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DSA
1 - 1
AND
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
FKL
0 - 2
DSA
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
DSA
0 - 1
FKO
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
DSA
2 - 0
QIZ
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |