Neftchi vs Andijon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
5º
40
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLM
1 - 1
NEF
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
SOG
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 1
NEF
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
URA
3 - 0
NEF
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Andijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
FKO
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BUN
2 - 1
AND
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
AND
0 - 0
TER
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
AND
0 - 0
NAS
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 1
AND
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |