Neftchi vs Al-Oruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ERK
1 - 2
NEF
11%
19%
70%
|
67 | 14 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
NEF
1 - 0
DSA
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
NEF
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
OLM
0 - 0
NEF
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
NEF
2 - 1
ALW
53%
23%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Oruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
ALO
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
ALO
1 - 0
TAL
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ALW
2 - 1
ALO
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SUR
0 - 2
ALO
49%
27%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ALO
0 - 0
DHO
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |