FA Cup 1/256
Global 0-1
Needham Market vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 0
NEE
53%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NEE
0 - 1
CRA
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
NEE
3 - 0
PET
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
NEE
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
NEE
6 - 1
STI
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 0
NEE
53%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 2
BRO
22%
25%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
DAG
1 - 2
YOR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 2
SOL
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 4
BAR
20%
24%
57%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |