Needham Market vs Welwyn Garden City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
ROY
3 - 3
NEE
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NEE
1 - 0
TAM
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NUN
1 - 2
NEE
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NEE
3 - 2
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 0
NEE
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Welwyn Garden City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
THA
3 - 0
WEL
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
WEL
6 - 1
KEM
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
WEL
2 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
54%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
WEL
2 - 1
COL
86%
10%
4%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BED
1 - 0
WEL
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |