Needham Market vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
NEE
3 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
NEE
3 - 2
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
NEE
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NEE
4 - 2
TON
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ENF
0 - 2
NEE
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 3
MER
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
TON
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
LEI
29%
22%
50%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
STA
4 - 2
MER
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 2
MER
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |