Needham Market vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TON
3 - 4
NEE
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NEE
2 - 2
BOG
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DUL
2 - 0
NEE
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BIL
6 - 0
NEE
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NEE
1 - 0
WIN
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
STA
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
MER
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
HAV
3 - 0
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MER
1 - 0
HAR
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ENF
2 - 3
MER
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |