Needham Market vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
NEE
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 2
NEE
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
LOW
1 - 1
NEE
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NEE
1 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NEE
2 - 1
DUL
19%
23%
59%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 0
BUR
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
LEI
4 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DUL
2 - 4
LEI
56%
22%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 3
LEI
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LEI
3 - 1
HAV
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |