Needham Market vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
NEE
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
NEE
2 - 1
WAR
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
SCU
2 - 0
NEE
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ALF
2 - 3
NEE
68%
19%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NEE
1 - 1
RAD
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SOU
0 - 1
HER
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HER
3 - 2
BRA
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
PET
0 - 1
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RAD
3 - 2
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |