Needham Market vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NEE
1 - 2
KIN
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
NEE
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
3 - 2
NEE
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
NEE
2 - 5
LEI
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 1
NEE
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SUT
3 - 0
HEN
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
HEN
0 - 1
WIN
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 3
HEN
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 4
HEN
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
HEN
4 - 2
BRI
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |