Needham Market vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
STA
3 - 0
NEE
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 1
STA
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
6 - 0
NEE
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MER
2 - 0
NEE
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
NEE
2 - 2
LEI
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
HAR
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 0
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 3
KIN
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
HEN
0 - 1
HAR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |