Needham Market vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
0 - 2
CAN
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 3
BIL
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 1
HAM
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
NEE
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 0
LEW
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 0
SOU
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EAS
3 - 0
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 0
BRE
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BIL
3 - 1
EAS
32%
23%
44%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 2
EAS
54%
21%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |