Needham Market vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 1
HAM
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
NEE
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 0
LEW
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 0
NEE
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 2
NEE
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BIL
3 - 1
EAS
32%
23%
44%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
BIL
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BIL
2 - 0
LEA
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BIL
1 - 1
VCD
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
KIN
2 - 2
BIL
56%
22%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |