Needham Market vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NEE
2 - 1
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
DER
1 - 1
NEE
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HED
0 - 1
NEE
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
NEE
3 - 0
LEI
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NUN
1 - 0
NEE
16%
20%
65%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 1
MAN
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
KIN
30%
24%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
BAN
2 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
BIG
29%
24%
48%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LOW
3 - 2
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |