SpVgg Neckarelz vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Neckarelz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 4
NEC
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 3
NEC
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
NEC
8 - 0
BIS
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 3
NEC
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NEC
4 - 2
BAH
67%
19%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
NOT
2 - 2
FRE
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
NOT
4 - 0
KSC
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
STU
1 - 1
NOT
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
4 - 1
BAL
64%
19%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |