SpVgg Neckarelz vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Neckarelz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
5 - 1
STU
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
NEC
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
VFR
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
NEC
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 5
NOT
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
KEH
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
OFF
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
BAH
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VFR
2 - 0
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 1
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |