SpVgg Neckarelz vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Neckarelz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AST
1 - 2
NEC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
BON
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
BAL
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ASV
2 - 5
NEC
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NEC
4 - 5
NOT
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ILL
2 - 1
NOR
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BAH
11 - 0
ILL
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -3 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
WAL
6 - 0
ILL
68%
20%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ILL
2 - 0
BAH
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AST
1 - 1
ILL
52%
24%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |