SpVgg Neckarelz vs Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Neckarelz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 0
OFF
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 1
SIN
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
AST
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 1
NEC
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 2
VFR
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SIN
4 - 0
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 3
AST
22%
23%
56%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 0
HOL
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
4 - 3
STU
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
KEH
1 - 0
HOL
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |