SpVgg Neckarelz vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Neckarelz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BIS
3 - 5
NEC
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
KSC
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
NEC
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 4
FRE
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
KSC
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
STU
2 - 4
FRE
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 2
KEH
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
REU
3 - 2
FRE
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |