SpVgg Neckarelz vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Neckarelz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 3
NEC
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 1
LIN
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 3
WAL
25%
27%
48%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
NEC
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
AST
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 3
NOT
20%
24%
56%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
2 - 1
FRE
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
NEC
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
FRE
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 3
KIR
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |