SpVgg Neckarelz vs ASV Durlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Neckarelz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
3 - 0
NEC
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 2
HOL
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FRE
0 - 0
NEC
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NEC
3 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LIN
0 - 1
NEC
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
ASV Durlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
21%
24%
56%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HOL
4 - 1
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ASV
5 - 1
FRE
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +4 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 1
ASV
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ASV
3 - 1
LIN
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |