Necaxa vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
TEP
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
5 - 2
NEC
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
UAT
0 - 2
NEC
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 1
CAÑ
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TIJ
4 - 3
NEC
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MER
3 - 3
CAÑ
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
5 - 2
NEC
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
UDG
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 1
CAÑ
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |