Necaxa vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 2
DOR
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
REB
1 - 4
NEC
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
UAT
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VER
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
VER
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
PUM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 1
VER
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VER
2 - 3
UDG
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |