Necaxa vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
NEC
40%
30%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
IRA
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
NEC
26%
30%
45%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
UDG
67%
22%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 2
NEC
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VER
2 - 5
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
VER
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
DOR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 0
VER
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |