Necaxa vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 1
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 0
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ATS
4 - 1
NEC
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
VER
0 - 0
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
MER
3 - 0
VER
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -3 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
SAG
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 0
VER
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 3
VER
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |