Clausura Ascenso MX Final
Global 0-4
Necaxa vs Toros Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UAT
3 - 3
NEC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 1
UAT
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 3
NEC
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 2
VER
59%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 2
TOR
35%
30%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
UDG
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 1
TOR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
LOB
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |