Necaxa vs Toros Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
UAT
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
LEO
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
NEC
27%
32%
42%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 1
ALT
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 4
LEO
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
DOR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |