Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AME
1 - 1
NEC
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 1
QRO
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
ATS
0 - 1
NEC
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 2
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
4 - 0
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ATS
0 - 1
TOL
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 0
TOL
16%
25%
59%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |