Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
NEC
2 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 2
NEC
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 0
PUM
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
6 - 0
NEC
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 0
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
TOL
4 - 1
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 0
TOL
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 5
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |