Liga MX Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
NEC
2 - 0
LEO
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 0
NEC
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 1
CAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
REB
3 - 1
NEC
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ATS
1 - 3
NEC
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 2
PUM
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CAZ
2 - 2
TOL
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
REB
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 1
ATS
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |